Bitcoin Swing Regime

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This dashboard is an educational market-analysis tool. It does not provide investment advice, personalized recommendations, or guaranteed predictions. Bitcoin markets are volatile, and historical relationships may not continue.

Current phase
Phase probabilities
Top risk
Bottoming evidence
Confidence

    Data health

    Swing signals

    The published conditions this engine wants met before a long or short swing is even considered on the selected horizon — every rule ticked live, with the line that kills the setup. Conditions framework, not a trade instruction.

    Transition Watch

    Four supervised regime transitions — evidence ticked as it confirms, with the line that kills each read.

    Price, structure & regime

    Candles with regime shading and cost-basis overlays. Unavailable overlays are omitted and named — never drawn as zero.

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    Confluence matrix

    Every contributing metric with its weight, freshness and source. Fields the API does not provide show “—”.

    MetricValuePctlDirectionSignalWeightContributionFreshnessSource

    Click a metric for what it measures, why it matters, its cadence, source and limitations.

    What is driving the call

    Weighted family scores behind the two most likely phases.

    Bars show each phase formula's top terms exactly as the engine scored them (server-side per-phase contributions, capped at ±35 — nothing is re-derived in the browser).

    Under the hood

    Event timeline

    Edge-triggered swing events, newest first. Provisional events may still be revised; confirmed ones never move.